基于PS-DR-DP理论模型的山东省海洋资源环境承载力评价

Evaluation of the carrying capacity of marine resources and environment in Shandong based on PS-DR-DP theoretical model

  • 摘要:
    目的 大规模、高强度的海洋资源开发活动对海洋资源环境和生态系统带来了不可逆转的影响。海洋资源环境承载力是评价海洋开发状况的重要工具。本文通过构建PS-DR-DP模型,系统量化山东省海洋资源环境承载力的动态变化,为海洋资源可持续开放与管理提供决策依据。
    方法 本研究基于海洋资源环境承载力定义以及承载力三要素理论,构建了海洋资源环境承载力评价框架体系,通过建立“PS-DR-DP”理论模型,将海洋资源环境承载力分解为“压力-支撑力”、“破坏力-恢复力”、“退化力-提升力”三对相互作用力,分别对应海洋资源支撑能力、海洋环境容量和抗海洋灾害能力,根据不同作用力大小变化测度海洋资源环境承载力状态的变化。基于上述理论模型研究了山东省2012—2020年海洋资源环境承载力的变化。
    结果 结果显示,2012—2020年,山东省海洋资源环境承载力处于满载状态,海洋资源环境承载力状态值总体呈上升趋势。各作用力均处于满载状态。正作用力的贡献总体呈上升趋势。各负作用力基本稳定或略有增加。6种作用力之间的耦合度总体呈上升趋势,耦合协调度总体呈上升趋势。
    结论 研究表明,通过海洋环境治理,能够增加海域恢复力和支撑力,从而促进海洋资源环境承载力增加。海洋科技水平提升能够提高海洋资源利用率,加强海洋污染治理与修复,从而促进支撑力和恢复力,因此对海洋资源环境承载力产生正向影响。 本研究所做工作对于丰富承载力的理论和方法具有一定的理论意义,能够为山东省制定海洋强省发展战略和政策提供现实的支撑。

     

    Abstract: The large-scale and high-intensity development of marine resources has brought irreversible impacts on the marine resource environment and ecosystem. The carrying capacity of marine resources and environment is an important tool for evaluating the status of marine development. This article constructs a PS-DR-DP model to systematically quantify the dynamic changes in the carrying capacity of marine resources and environment in Shandong, providing decision-making basis for sustainable opening and management of marine resources. Based on the definition of marine resource and environmental carrying capacity and the theory of the three elements of carrying capacity, this study constructed an evaluation framework system for marine resource and environmental carrying capacity. By establishing the "PS-DR-DP" theoretical model, the marine resource and environmental carrying capacity was decomposed into three pairs of interaction forces: "pressure support force", "destructive force recovery force", and "degradation force enhancement force", corresponding to the marine resource support capacity, marine environmental capacity, and resistance to marine disasters, respectively. The changes in the state of marine resource and environmental carrying capacity were measured according to the changes in the magnitude of different forces. Based on the above theoretical model, the changes in the carrying capacity of marine resources and environment in Shandong from 2012 to 2020 were studied. The results show that from 2012 to 2020, the carrying capacity of marine resources and environment in Shandong was at full capacity, and the overall value of the carrying capacity of marine resources and environment showed an upward trend. All forces are in a fully loaded state. The contribution of positive force is generally on the rise. The negative forces are basically stable or slightly increased. The coupling degree between the six types of forces is generally on the rise, and the coupling coordination degree is also on the rise. Research has shown that through marine environmental governance, the resilience and support of marine areas can be increased, thereby promoting an increase in the carrying capacity of marine resources and environment. The improvement of marine technology can enhance the utilization rate of marine resources, strengthen the control and restoration of marine pollution, thereby promoting support and resilience, and thus have a positive impact on the carrying capacity of marine resources and environment. The work done by this research institute has certain theoretical significance for enriching the theory and methods of carrying capacity, and can provide practical support for Shandong to formulate development strategies and policies for a strong marine province.

     

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